Conference League · League phase MD6
Gent
GEN
Brann
BRA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent36%
Draw27%
Brann38%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.46
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession70%
40%Territory53%
11%From set plays19%
0.07Chance quality0.14
7.1%Directness2.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for Brann. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.