Conference League · League phase MD4
Gent
GEN
FK Crvena Zvezda
FKC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Gent42%
Draw27%
FK Crvena Zvezda31%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.25
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–07.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession59%
40%Territory43%
11%From set plays18%
0.07Chance quality0.07
7.1%Directness4.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Gent, 2 for FK Crvena Zvezda. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.