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Conference League · League phase MD3

FK Crvena Zvezda

FKC

Inter Club d'Escaldes

INT

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FK Crvena Zvezda46%
Draw26%
Inter Club d'Escaldes27%

Expected goals

1.60 – 1.19

Over 2.5

52%

Both to score

57%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.8%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 2–19.3%
  • 2–07.5%
  • 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession61%
43%Territory31%
18%From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.10
4.5%Directness5.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 2 for Inter Club d'Escaldes. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.