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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Conference League · League phase MD6

FK Crvena Zvezda

FKC

Trabzonspor

TRA

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

FK Crvena Zvezda37%
Draw26%
Trabzonspor37%

Expected goals

1.50 – 1.51

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.4%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–17.8%
  • 1–07.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

59%Possession58%
43%Territory37%
18%From set plays12%
0.07Chance quality0.15
4.5%Directness4.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 2 for Trabzonspor. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.