Conference League · League phase MD6
FC Midtjylland
FCM
Hajduk Split
HAJ
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC Midtjylland42%
Draw27%
Hajduk Split31%
Expected goals
1.53 – 1.29
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.9%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession45%
41%Territory27%
19%From set plays22%
0.14Chance quality0.12
8.1%Directness7.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC Midtjylland, 2 for Hajduk Split. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.