Conference League · League phase MD3
FC København
FCK
Iberia 1999
IBE
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
FC København49%
Draw27%
Iberia 199925%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.09
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.5%
- 2–08.3%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
39%Possession43%
33%Territory21%
23%From set plays24%
0.12Chance quality0.09
5.6%Directness4.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for FC København, 2 for Iberia 1999. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Iberia 1999
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.