Conference League · League phase MD3
Monaco
MON
Nordsjælland
NOR
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Monaco47%
Draw26%
Nordsjælland27%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.21
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.4%
- 0–17.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession56%
40%Territory33%
6%From set plays5%
0.11Chance quality0.10
4.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Monaco, 2 for Nordsjælland. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Nordsjælland
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.