Conference League · League phase MD4
Freiburg
FRE
FC Twente
FCT
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Freiburg32%
Draw26%
FC Twente42%
Expected goals
1.39 – 1.59
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 2–17.6%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession72%
43%Territory58%
56%From set plays2%
0.09Chance quality0.15
3.6%Directness3.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Freiburg, 2 for FC Twente. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.