Conference League · League phase MD5
Freiburg
FRE
Panathinaikos
PAN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Freiburg33%
Draw26%
Panathinaikos41%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.60
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
62%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 1–28.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 2–17.8%
- 1–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession61%
43%Territory49%
56%From set plays19%
0.09Chance quality0.19
3.6%Directness2.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Freiburg, 2 for Panathinaikos. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.