Conference League · League phase MD6
Ajax
AJA
Getafe
GET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ajax45%
Draw26%
Getafe30%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.32
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–09.0%
- 1–27.2%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
59%Possession59%
47%Territory44%
8%From set plays39%
0.10Chance quality0.11
5.3%Directness5.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ajax, 2 for Getafe. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.