Conference League · League phase MD6
Braga
BRG
Egnatia
EGN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga44%
Draw27%
Egnatia29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.17
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.3%
- 0–08.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession59%
41%Territory43%
24%From set plays24%
0.10Chance quality0.06
2.5%Directness8.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Braga, 2 for Egnatia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Braga
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.