Conference League · League phase MD4
Braga
BRG
KuPS
KUP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Braga44%
Draw28%
KuPS28%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.13
Over 2.5
47%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.6%
- 1–011.5%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–08.8%
- 0–18.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
58%Possession53%
41%Territory37%
24%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.10
2.5%Directness3.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Braga, 2 for KuPS. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Braga
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.