Conference League · League phase MD6
Atalanta
ATA
Mjällby
MJL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Atalanta40%
Draw27%
Mjällby33%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.31
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.1%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.3%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession50%
48%Territory44%
24%From set plays33%
0.11Chance quality0.10
3.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Atalanta, 2 for Mjällby. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Atalanta
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 36 matches, not the full season.