Europa League · League phase MD6
Ararat Armenia
ARA
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ararat Armenia36%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen38%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.48
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 0–18.4%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–08.2%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession47%
37%Territory46%
37%From set plays1%
0.05Chance quality0.10
6.3%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ararat Armenia, 2 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Ararat Armenia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.