Europa League · League phase MD7
Ararat Armenia
ARA
NK Celje
NKC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ararat Armenia39%
Draw27%
NK Celje33%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.31
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–09.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
49%Possession56%
37%Territory38%
37%From set plays23%
0.05Chance quality0.12
6.3%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Ararat Armenia, 2 for NK Celje. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Ararat Armenia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.