Europa League · League phase MD7
Ararat Armenia
ARA
NK Celje
NKC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Ararat Armenia43%
Draw26%
NK Celje31%
Expected goals
1.62 – 1.37
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.6%
- 1–27.4%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession44%
23%Territory36%
55%From set plays0%
0.15Chance quality0.18
4.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Ararat Armenia, 1 for NK Celje. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Ararat Armenia
NK Celje
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.