Europa League · League phase MD6
Levski Sofia
LES
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levski Sofia40%
Draw27%
Lillestrøm33%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.36
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession67%
32%Territory51%
24%From set plays38%
0.06Chance quality0.11
6.7%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Levski Sofia, 1 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Levski Sofia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.