Europa League · League phase MD6
Levski Sofia
LES
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levski Sofia47%
Draw26%
Lillestrøm27%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.19
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 2–07.5%
- 0–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession46%
21%Territory36%
3%From set plays0%
0.17Chance quality0.14
5.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Levski Sofia, 2 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.