Europa League · League phase MD4
Levski Sofia
LES
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levski Sofia44%
Draw27%
Jagiellonia Białystok30%
Expected goals
1.54 – 1.25
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–09.9%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.8%
- 1–27.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession42%
32%Territory15%
24%From set plays10%
0.06Chance quality0.12
6.7%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Levski Sofia, 1 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Levski Sofia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Jagiellonia Białystok
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.