Europa League · League phase MD4
Levski Sofia
LES
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Levski Sofia43%
Draw28%
Jagiellonia Białystok30%
Expected goals
1.45 – 1.18
Over 2.5
48%
Both to score
54%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.9%
- 2–18.9%
- 0–18.6%
- 0–08.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
50%Possession42%
21%Territory25%
3%From set plays7%
0.17Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness6.1%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Levski Sofia, 2 for Jagiellonia Białystok. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Jagiellonia Białystok
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.