Europa League · League phase MD7
Lillestrøm
LIL
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm28%
Draw26%
Bournemouth46%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.63
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 0–19.6%
- 1–29.3%
- 1–07.1%
- 0–27.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession63%
36%Territory52%
0%From set plays44%
0.14Chance quality0.14
4.3%Directness6.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lillestrøm, 2 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.