Europa League · League phase MD7
Lillestrøm
LIL
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm43%
Draw26%
Bournemouth31%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.33
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–19.0%
- 0–17.4%
- 1–27.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession38%
51%Territory34%
35%From set plays22%
0.10Chance quality0.07
4.5%Directness7.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lillestrøm, 1 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.