Europa League · League phase MD4
Lillestrøm
LIL
Viktoria Plzeň
VIK
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Lillestrøm37%
Draw30%
Viktoria Plzeň33%
Expected goals
1.22 – 1.13
Over 2.5
41%
Both to score
49%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.3%
- 1–011.8%
- 0–010.9%
- 0–110.9%
- 2–18.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession49%
51%Territory36%
38%From set plays39%
0.11Chance quality0.08
4.6%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Lillestrøm, 1 for Viktoria Plzeň. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lillestrøm
Viktoria Plzeň
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.