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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD4

Lillestrøm

LIL

Viktoria Plzeň

VIK

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Lillestrøm31%
Draw30%
Viktoria Plzeň39%

Expected goals

1.07 – 1.21

Over 2.5

40%

Both to score

48%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.3%
  • 0–112.6%
  • 0–011.6%
  • 1–010.9%
  • 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession49%
36%Territory38%
0%From set plays64%
0.14Chance quality0.09
4.3%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Lillestrøm, 2 for Viktoria Plzeň. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.