Europa League · League phase MD8
OFI Crete
OFI
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete46%
Draw26%
Lech Poznań29%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.28
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.5%
- 1–09.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.1%
- 1–27.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
35%Possession41%
23%Territory21%
10%From set plays9%
0.04Chance quality0.11
5.8%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OFI Crete, 2 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
OFI Crete
Lech Poznań
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.