Europa League · League phase MD8
OFI Crete
OFI
Lech Poznań
LEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete47%
Draw26%
Lech Poznań28%
Expected goals
1.65 – 1.24
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–07.3%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession47%
17%Territory44%
21%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.07
10.0%Directness4.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for OFI Crete, 1 for Lech Poznań. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Lech Poznań
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.