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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD5

OFI Crete

OFI

Anderlecht

AND

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

OFI Crete34%
Draw29%
Anderlecht38%

Expected goals

1.23 – 1.31

Over 2.5

46%

Both to score

53%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.8%
  • 0–110.6%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–09.1%
  • 1–28.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

35%Possession57%
23%Territory48%
10%From set plays8%
0.04Chance quality0.09
5.8%Directness4.2%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for OFI Crete, 2 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.