Europa League · League phase MD5
OFI Crete
OFI
Anderlecht
AND
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete44%
Draw26%
Anderlecht30%
Expected goals
1.57 – 1.29
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–09.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–17.6%
- 1–27.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession58%
17%Territory34%
21%From set plays44%
0.13Chance quality0.13
10.0%Directness5.9%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for OFI Crete, 1 for Anderlecht. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.