Europa League · League phase MD3
OFI Crete
OFI
Bayer Leverkusen
LEV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
OFI Crete40%
Draw27%
Leverkusen33%
Expected goals
1.50 – 1.35
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 0–18.1%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession56%
17%Territory44%
21%From set plays12%
0.13Chance quality0.14
10.0%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for OFI Crete, 1 for Leverkusen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.