Skip to content

Europa League · League phase MD2

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Levski Sofia

LES

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NEC Nijmegen38%
Draw27%
Levski Sofia35%

Expected goals

1.48 – 1.40

Over 2.5

54%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.9%
  • 108.7%
  • 218.5%
  • 018.2%
  • 128.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession50%
40%Territory32%
From set plays24%
0.07Chance quality0.06
3.6%Directness6.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NEC Nijmegen, 1 for Levski Sofia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.