Europa League · League phase MD4
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Omonia Nicosia
OMO
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen43%
Draw26%
Omonia Nicosia32%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.39
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
61%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.3%
- 2–19.0%
- 1–08.5%
- 1–27.5%
- 0–17.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession38%
46%Territory27%
1%From set plays3%
0.10Chance quality0.13
6.4%Directness6.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NEC Nijmegen, 2 for Omonia Nicosia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.