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Europa League · League phase MD4

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NEC Nijmegen38%
Draw27%
Omonia Nicosia35%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.40

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 108.8%
  • 218.4%
  • 018.4%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

52%Possession46%
40%Territory37%
From set plays38%
0.07Chance quality0.03
3.5%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NEC Nijmegen, 1 for Omonia Nicosia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

NEC Nijmegen

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.