Europa League · League phase MD5
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Rennes
REN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen39%
Draw27%
Rennes34%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.37
Over 2.5
53%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–09.0%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–18.2%
- 1–27.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
47%Possession57%
46%Territory50%
1%From set plays31%
0.10Chance quality0.08
6.4%Directness5.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NEC Nijmegen, 2 for Rennes. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.