Europa League · League phase MD7
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NEC Nijmegen36%
Draw27%
Benfica38%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.47
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–18.6%
- 1–28.4%
- 1–08.3%
- 2–18.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession40%
40%Territory41%
—From set plays8%
0.07Chance quality0.06
3.5%Directness10.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NEC Nijmegen, 1 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
NEC Nijmegen
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.