Europa League · League phase MD4
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HAP
OFI Crete
OFI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hapoel Beer Sheva41%
Draw28%
OFI Crete31%
Expected goals
1.44 – 1.23
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
55%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–18.7%
- 0–08.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
66%Possession33%
45%Territory17%
36%From set plays21%
0.06Chance quality0.13
1.3%Directness10.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 1 for OFI Crete. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.