Europa League · League phase MD7
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HAP
Celta Vigo
CEL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hapoel Beer Sheva26%
Draw26%
Celta Vigo47%
Expected goals
1.16 – 1.60
Over 2.5
51%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 0–110.7%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–27.8%
- 1–07.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession52%
32%Territory44%
2%From set plays11%
0.14Chance quality0.09
3.1%Directness3.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 2 for Celta Vigo. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Celta Vigo
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.