Europa League · League phase MD6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HAP
Juventus
JUV
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hapoel Beer Sheva31%
Draw26%
Juventus42%
Expected goals
1.31 – 1.56
Over 2.5
54%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 0–19.3%
- 1–29.0%
- 1–07.7%
- 2–17.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
45%Possession54%
32%Territory51%
2%From set plays18%
0.14Chance quality0.12
3.1%Directness4.8%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Hapoel Beer Sheva, 2 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.