Europa League · League phase MD4
Torreense
TOR
Ararat Armenia
ARA
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torreense44%
Draw27%
Ararat Armenia29%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.20
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.2%
- 1–010.5%
- 2–19.1%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–07.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession49%
23%Territory37%
13%From set plays37%
0.05Chance quality0.05
10.4%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Torreense, 2 for Ararat Armenia. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Ararat Armenia
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.