Europa League · League phase MD5
Torreense
TOR
Celtic
CET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torreense32%
Draw25%
Celtic42%
Expected goals
1.46 – 1.68
Over 2.5
60%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.8%
- 1–28.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
41%Possession46%
23%Territory33%
13%From set plays9%
0.05Chance quality0.08
10.4%Directness3.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Torreense, 2 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.