Europa League · League phase MD5
Torreense
TOR
Celtic
CET
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Torreense33%
Draw24%
Celtic43%
Expected goals
1.59 – 1.80
Over 2.5
64%
Both to score
67%
Fair handicap
0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.0%
- 1–28.6%
- 2–17.5%
- 2–27.0%
- 0–16.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
33%Possession63%
32%Territory37%
4%From set plays28%
0.13Chance quality0.07
9.2%Directness3.5%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Torreense, 1 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.