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Europa League · League phase MD8

Torreense

TOR

Olympiacos

OLY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Torreense40%
Draw26%
Olympiacos34%

Expected goals

1.56 – 1.43

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.5%
  • 218.7%
  • 108.3%
  • 127.9%
  • 017.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

33%Possession58%
33%Territory54%
5%From set plays59%
0.14Chance quality0.11
9.3%Directness4.3%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Torreense, 1 for Olympiacos. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.