Europa League · League phase MD5
Beşiktaş
BEI
Hapoel Beer Sheva
HAP
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş46%
Draw26%
Hapoel Beer Sheva28%
Expected goals
1.60 – 1.21
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.4%
- 2–07.3%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession66%
39%Territory45%
4%From set plays36%
0.13Chance quality0.06
5.7%Directness1.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beşiktaş, 1 for Hapoel Beer Sheva. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hapoel Beer Sheva
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.