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Europa League · League phase MD3

Beşiktaş

BEI

Crystal Palace

CRY

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Beşiktaş43%
Draw26%
Crystal Palace31%

Expected goals

1.64 – 1.39

Over 2.5

57%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.2%
  • 219.0%
  • 108.4%
  • 127.4%
  • 017.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession53%
39%Territory47%
4%From set plays6%
0.13Chance quality0.13
5.7%Directness3.9%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beşiktaş, 1 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.