Europa League · League phase MD7
Beşiktaş
BEI
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş41%
Draw26%
Union St.Gilloise32%
Expected goals
1.55 – 1.36
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
59%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.7%
- 1–08.9%
- 2–18.8%
- 0–17.7%
- 1–27.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
53%Possession48%
39%Territory49%
29%From set plays34%
0.16Chance quality0.10
5.8%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Beşiktaş, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.