Europa League · League phase MD7
Beşiktaş
BEI
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Beşiktaş41%
Draw25%
Union St.Gilloise34%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.47
Over 2.5
59%
Both to score
63%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.1%
- 2–18.7%
- 1–07.8%
- 1–27.8%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession51%
39%Territory39%
4%From set plays26%
0.13Chance quality0.15
5.7%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Beşiktaş, 1 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.