Europa League · League phase MD2
Hoffenheim
HOF
Beşiktaş
BEI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim39%
Draw26%
Beşiktaş35%
Expected goals
1.52 – 1.43
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.6%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–08.4%
- 1–28.0%
- 0–17.8%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession54%
51%Territory39%
21%From set plays4%
0.08Chance quality0.13
4.9%Directness5.7%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Hoffenheim, 1 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.