Europa League · League phase MD5
Hoffenheim
HOF
Sturm Graz
STU
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim50%
Draw28%
Sturm Graz22%
Expected goals
1.46 – 0.91
Over 2.5
42%
Both to score
47%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–014.1%
- 1–112.4%
- 0–010.4%
- 2–09.5%
- 2–19.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession38%
51%Territory26%
21%From set plays37%
0.08Chance quality0.07
4.9%Directness6.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Hoffenheim, 1 for Sturm Graz. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.