Europa League · League phase MD3
Hoffenheim
HOF
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Hoffenheim13%
Draw20%
Lyon67%
Expected goals
0.88 – 2.15
Over 2.5
57%
Both to score
52%
Fair handicap
1.25
Most likely scorelines
- 0–211.3%
- 0–111.0%
- 1–29.8%
- 1–19.1%
- 0–37.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
67%Possession42%
51%Territory23%
19%From set plays31%
0.07Chance quality0.09
5.3%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Hoffenheim, 1 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Hoffenheim
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.