Europa League · League phase MD8
Celta Vigo
CEL
Lillestrøm
LIL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo57%
Draw23%
Lillestrøm20%
Expected goals
1.94 – 1.11
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
58%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 1–09.7%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–16.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession67%
52%Territory51%
58%From set plays38%
0.08Chance quality0.11
2.9%Directness4.6%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celta Vigo, 1 for Lillestrøm. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Vigo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Lillestrøm
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.