Europa League · League phase MD5
Celta Vigo
CEL
AFC Bournemouth
AFC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo57%
Draw23%
Bournemouth20%
Expected goals
1.89 – 1.07
Over 2.5
56%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.75
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–010.3%
- 2–19.9%
- 2–09.1%
- 3–16.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession38%
52%Territory34%
58%From set plays22%
0.08Chance quality0.07
2.9%Directness7.3%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celta Vigo, 1 for Bournemouth. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Vigo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.