Europa League · League phase MD4
Celta Vigo
CEL
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo52%
Draw24%
Union St.Gilloise24%
Expected goals
1.84 – 1.23
Over 2.5
58%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
-0.50
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–19.7%
- 1–09.1%
- 2–07.7%
- 1–26.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
54%Possession51%
52%Territory39%
58%From set plays26%
0.08Chance quality0.15
2.9%Directness4.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celta Vigo, 1 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Vigo
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.