Europa League · League phase MD4
Celta Vigo
CEL
Union St.Gilloise
UNI
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Celta Vigo45%
Draw26%
Union St.Gilloise28%
Expected goals
1.58 – 1.22
Over 2.5
52%
Both to score
57%
Fair handicap
-0.25
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.9%
- 1–010.1%
- 2–19.3%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–07.2%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
52%Possession48%
44%Territory49%
11%From set plays34%
0.09Chance quality0.10
3.2%Directness5.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Celta Vigo, 2 for Union St.Gilloise. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Celta Vigo
Union St.Gilloise
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.