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Europa League · League phase MD2

Celta Vigo

CEL

Juventus

JUV

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Celta Vigo50%
Draw24%
Juventus25%

Expected goals

1.83 – 1.27

Over 2.5

59%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

-0.50

Most likely scorelines

  • 1110.7%
  • 219.6%
  • 108.8%
  • 207.4%
  • 126.4%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

54%Possession48%
52%Territory27%
58%From set plays
0.08Chance quality0.38
2.9%Directness6.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Celta Vigo, 1 for Juventus. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.