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Europa League · League phase MD8

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Beşiktaş

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Omonia Nicosia38%
Draw27%
Beşiktaş35%

Expected goals

1.44 – 1.40

Over 2.5

53%

Both to score

59%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.0%
  • 108.8%
  • 018.5%
  • 218.4%
  • 128.1%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession54%
37%Territory39%
38%From set plays4%
0.03Chance quality0.13
6.6%Directness5.7%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Omonia Nicosia, 1 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.