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Europa League · League phase MD8

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Beşiktaş

BEI

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Omonia Nicosia36%
Draw26%
Beşiktaş38%

Expected goals

1.47 – 1.51

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

61%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.5%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 1–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession53%
27%Territory39%
3%From set plays29%
0.13Chance quality0.16
6.8%Directness5.8%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Omonia Nicosia, 2 for Beşiktaş. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.