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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD6

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Celtic

CET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Omonia Nicosia31%
Draw25%
Celtic44%

Expected goals

1.45 – 1.73

Over 2.5

60%

Both to score

64%

Fair handicap

0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.7%
  • 1–29.0%
  • 0–17.7%
  • 2–17.4%
  • 2–26.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

46%Possession63%
37%Territory37%
38%From set plays28%
0.03Chance quality0.07
6.6%Directness3.5%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Omonia Nicosia, 1 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.