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Task EnterprisesClub FootballIntelligence

Europa League · League phase MD6

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Celtic

CET

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

Omonia Nicosia38%
Draw25%
Celtic37%

Expected goals

1.67 – 1.65

Over 2.5

63%

Both to score

66%

Fair handicap

0.00

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.3%
  • 2–18.2%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–06.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

38%Possession46%
27%Territory33%
3%From set plays9%
0.13Chance quality0.08
6.8%Directness3.0%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Omonia Nicosia, 2 for Celtic. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.