Europa League · League phase MD3
Omonia Nicosia
OMO
Benfica
BEN
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Omonia Nicosia40%
Draw28%
Benfica33%
Expected goals
1.41 – 1.27
Over 2.5
49%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.4%
- 1–010.0%
- 0–18.9%
- 2–18.6%
- 0–07.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
46%Possession40%
37%Territory41%
38%From set plays8%
0.03Chance quality0.06
6.6%Directness10.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for Omonia Nicosia, 1 for Benfica. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Omonia Nicosia
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.