Europa League · League phase MD6
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Crystal Palace
CRY
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Jagiellonia Białystok39%
Draw28%
Crystal Palace33%
Expected goals
1.42 – 1.30
Over 2.5
50%
Both to score
56%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.3%
- 1–09.8%
- 0–18.8%
- 2–18.6%
- 1–27.7%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession46%
25%Territory38%
7%From set plays26%
0.11Chance quality0.09
6.1%Directness4.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Jagiellonia Białystok, 2 for Crystal Palace. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Jagiellonia Białystok
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.