Europa League · League phase MD7
Jagiellonia Białystok
JAG
Lyon
OL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
Jagiellonia Białystok17%
Draw22%
Lyon61%
Expected goals
0.95 – 1.95
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
53%
Fair handicap
1.00
Most likely scorelines
- 0–111.3%
- 0–210.3%
- 1–110.2%
- 1–210.0%
- 1–36.5%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
42%Possession54%
25%Territory30%
7%From set plays22%
0.11Chance quality0.15
6.1%Directness5.2%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for Jagiellonia Białystok, 2 for Lyon. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Jagiellonia Białystok
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.