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Europa League · League phase MD8

NK Celje

NKC

NEC Nijmegen

NEC

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NK Celje46%
Draw25%
NEC Nijmegen28%

Expected goals

1.68 – 1.28

Over 2.5

56%

Both to score

60%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1111.3%
  • 219.3%
  • 109.3%
  • 207.0%
  • 126.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession52%
36%Territory40%
0%From set plays
0.18Chance quality0.07
5.4%Directness3.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NK Celje, 1 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

This competition has no player data in the current snapshot, so there is nobody to name. Better than naming somebody anyway.