Europa League · League phase MD8
NK Celje
NKC
NEC Nijmegen
NEC
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NK Celje39%
Draw27%
NEC Nijmegen35%
Expected goals
1.49 – 1.42
Over 2.5
55%
Both to score
60%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.8%
- 1–08.6%
- 2–18.5%
- 0–18.0%
- 1–28.0%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
56%Possession47%
38%Territory46%
23%From set plays1%
0.12Chance quality0.10
5.0%Directness6.4%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 2 for NK Celje, 2 for NEC Nijmegen. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 33 of 54 matches, not the full season.