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Europa League · League phase MD2

NK Celje

NKC

Omonia Nicosia

OMO

Model

Match forecast

Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.

NK Celje41%
Draw27%
Omonia Nicosia32%

Expected goals

1.46 – 1.27

Over 2.5

51%

Both to score

56%

Fair handicap

-0.25

Most likely scorelines

  • 1112.3%
  • 109.9%
  • 218.8%
  • 018.5%
  • 007.6%
How they playPossession, press, how they create

Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.

44%Possession46%
36%Territory37%
0%From set plays38%
0.18Chance quality0.03
5.4%Directness6.6%

Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NK Celje, 1 for Omonia Nicosia. Too few to lean on heavily.

Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90

NK Celje

No regular with a goal involvement yet.

Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.