Europa League · League phase MD3
NK Celje
NKC
Salzburg
SAL
Model
Match forecast
Bivariate-Poisson goal model, from current strength ratings and home advantage.
NK Celje38%
Draw25%
Salzburg37%
Expected goals
1.61 – 1.61
Over 2.5
61%
Both to score
65%
Fair handicap
0.00
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.7%
- 2–18.2%
- 1–28.2%
- 1–06.9%
- 0–16.9%
How they playPossession, press, how they create
Too early to characterise either side — these are the numbers so far, not a read on how they play.
44%Possession50%
36%Territory31%
0%From set plays6%
0.18Chance quality0.12
5.4%Directness4.0%
Averages over the matches this snapshot has detail for — 1 for NK Celje, 1 for Salzburg. Too few to lean on heavily.
Players to watchMost goal involvement per 90
NK Celje
No regular with a goal involvement yet.
Salzburg
Goal involvements per 90, among players with at least 45% of the most-used player’s minutes. Drawn from the last 17 of 18 matches, not the full season.